Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD clings to modest gains near $25.00, not out of the woods yet

  • Silver staged a modest recovery from over three-month lows touched earlier this Wednesday.
  • The technical set-up still favours bearish traders and supports prospects for additional losses.

Silver staged a goodish intraday bounce from the $24.75 area, or the lowest level since April 13 touched earlier this Wednesday. The commodity held on to its recovery gains through the mid-European session, albeit retreated a bit from daily tops and was last seen trading just above the key $25.00 psychological mark.

Extremely oversold RSI on hourly charts turned out to be a key factor that prompted some short-covering move and assisted the XAG/USD to snap three consecutive days of the losing streak. That said, the near-term bias remains tilted firmly in favour of bearish traders and supports prospects for a further depreciating move.

The XAG/USD this week confirmed a bearish break through the $25.70-65 confluence support – comprising of the very important 200-day SMA and the 61.8% Fibonacci level of the $23.78-$28.75 move up. Some follow-through weakness below the previous monthly swing lows, around mid-$25.00s, and the $25.00 mark added credence to the negative outlook.

That said, the emergence of some dip-buying just ahead of the $24.70-65 intermediate support warrants some caution for aggressive bearish traders. Nevertheless, the XAG/USD still seems vulnerable to extend the downward trajectory towards the $24.00 round-figure mark before eventually dropping to challenge YTD lows, around the $23.80-75 region.

On the flip side, any meaningful recovery attempt could be seen as a selling opportunity and runs the risk of fizzling out rather quickly near the mentioned $25.70-65 confluence support breakpoint. This is followed by the $26.00 round-figure mark, above which the recovery could get extended towards the next relevant barrier near the $26.40-50 heavy supply zone.

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Silver daily chart


Technical levels to watch


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